Article courtesy of Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver, Commercial Market News, February 2012

The BCREA Commercial Leading Indicator (CLI) rose for the second consecutive quarter, advancing 1.1 points to an index level of 111. On a fourth-quarter over fourth-quarter basis, the CLI moved 1.6 per cent higher in 2011. While this is a marked slowing from the 5.2 percent surge in 2010, the index picked up considerable momentum in the third and fourth quarter of the year, more than making up for a weak first half of 2011.

The trend in the CLI turned up slightly as early softness in economic activity was smoothed out by a stronger second half of the year. This change in trend indicates a positive economic environment for the BC commercial real estate sector in 2012. “Improving economic data provided a strong tailwind for the CLI in the second half of 2011,” said Brendon Ogmundson, BCREA Economist. “However, growing anxiety surrounding the global economy could constrain the economic environment for commercial real estate this year.”The full BCREA Commercial Leading Indicator index is available at:

Francine Tracey


Commercial Market Update - March 30, 2012

Commercial Bond Yields


Canada Mortgage Bond

Canada Housing 06/15/17*: 1.91%

Canada Housing 03/15/22: 2.60%

* denotes interpolated rate


Select Government of Canada Bonds

CAN 4.00 06/01/17: 1.58%

CAN 2.75 06/01/22: 2.16%

GOC Bonds are for reference purposes only


First National Floating

Insured Cost of Funds



Bank Prime Rate



Posted Rate

1 Year: 3.20%

2 Year: 3.55%

3 Year: 3.95%

4 Year: 4.64%

5 Year: 5.44%


Market Commentary 

The federal budget didn’t contain any surprises so the markets are taking it in stride.


Canadian GDP expanded slightly in January, but at a slower rate that in December. January saw a 0.1% increase, led by manufacturing. Financials also did well. The construction sector saw a 0.1% decline.

December 0.5% growth, revised upward from 0.4%.


In the U.S., personal income increased 0.2% in February while personal consumption expenditures climbed 0.8%. Real disposable income dropped 0.1%.


The confidence of American consumers improved in March. The Reuters/U of M Index climbed nearly 1 point to 76.2, from 75.3 in February. While not optimistic, pessimism is fading in the face of the improving job market in the U.S.


And the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index dropped more than expected in March to 62.2%, down from 64% in February. Expectation had been for 63.6%. Production and new orders rose, but the new orders component decelerated to 63.3% in March from 69.2% in February. Employment fell near 8 percentage points and the prices paid component rose to the highest level since Aug. 2011. Readings over 50% indicate expansion.

No comments

Post Your Comment:

* indicates required fields.
Your Name: *
Please note, your email will not be shown publicly
Your Email (will not be published): *
Comment: *
Please type the text as it appears above:
The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of either the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV), the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) or the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB). Real estate listings held by participating real estate firms are marked with the MLS® logo and detailed information about the listing includes the name of the listing agent. This representation is based in whole or part on data generated by either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB which assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. The materials contained on this page may not be reproduced without the express written consent of either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB.